The Department of Primary Industries’ most recent Seasonal Update showed the state experienced an improvement in meteorological conditions during September 2018, with some early signs of recovery in parts of coastal, eastern and central NSW.

While the improved conditions are a positive sign, the drought event continues across much of NSW, with 98 per cent of the state remaining in one of the three drought categories.

The latest estimates of drought intensity at the end of September, placed up to 38 per cent of the state as Drought Affected, 50 per cent in Drought and 10 per cent in Intense Drought. 

During September, 27.2mm of rain fell over Nowra, 36.8mm over Ulladulla and 61.2mm over Kiama, an increase on the August totals of 24mm, 21.4mm and 47mm, respectively. 

READ MORE: Heavens open but Shoalhaven water restrictions here to stay

Despite this, much of the Shoalhaven is still in Intense Drought. Areas surrounding Ulladulla are improving however, with parts either classified as in Drought or Drought Affected (intensifying). 

According to the DPI, it will take time for the improvement in weather conditions to be reflected in agricultural performance.

“While it is pleasing to see early signs of recovery in some areas, without follow up rainfall, it will take time before we see the benefits for some of our state’s primary producers,” DPI manager of seasonal conditions monitoring Dr Anthony Clark said. 

Dr Clark said in early October, welcome rainfall was received across a large areas of the South Coast, as well as parts of the Western Region. 

“The falls bring short-term relief to drought affected areas, with substantially more rain needed to restore depleted soil moisture levels,” he said. 

So far this month, more than 131mm of rain has fallen over Kiama, 78mm over Ulladulla and 47mm over Nowra. 

The Bureau of Meteorology Outlook for October to December indicates that there is a 50 per cent chance of achieving medium rainfall, with high probability of warm conditions. The southern and western areas of the state will be drier than average.